Metis
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Same battery. Same days. More margin.

An ERCOT battery already in commercial operation. We rebuilt its instruction path and ran both its own dispatch and a fixed Metis candidate through the same execution and accounting boundary.

+$585k

additional after-variable-cost energy margin across 107 operating days — about $55 per MW-day on a 100 MW / 200 MWh asset

Public-data replay

Every sensitivity in the registered envelope came back positive, from +$429k to +$619k.

What was already operating.

The benchmark is the asset's disclosed SCED Base Point path — the instructions it actually followed, not a reconstruction of the bid curve behind them. That path already carries the operator's day-ahead position and their ancillary obligations, so beating it means finding value inside the schedule they were already committed to. Settlement-point RT prices gave both paths the same execution and accounting boundary.

The asset's own dispatch$909k
Metis replay candidate$1.493m
After-variable-cost energy margin · central sensitivity

Public-data replay

Every sensitivity in the registered envelope came back positive, from +$429k to +$619k.

eligible operating days
107
after removing the ten strongest days
+$236k
without terminal inventory marks
+$428k

How the replay candidate was built.

  1. 01

    Reconstruct

    Align public Base Points, settlement-point RT prices, disclosed DAM ancillary-service awards, and a registered public physical envelope.

  2. 02

    Plan

    Combine the D-1 CDR path, Chronos-2 price fans, and decision-time-valid two-hour recourse. The inherited recipe was not retuned on this asset.

  3. 03

    Recommend

    Recommend charge or discharge when forecast value cleared wear and registered constraints, then re-solve as new price information became available.

Why the result held.

The central result survived the tests most likely to expose a replay that depends on a few favorable intervals.

Modeled energy-margin replay. Awarded ancillary capacity was preserved, but ancillary revenue and settled P&L were not scored.

  • Positive across the full registered scenario envelope: +$429k to +$619k.
  • Still +$236k after deleting the ten strongest days.
  • Still +$428k with terminal inventory marks removed.

What we would do on your asset.

Freeze the policy and run the same replay forward on your own battery, against your own baseline.

Run the same replay on your battery.

Benchmark an asset →